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Super Tuesday Calculator

My calculator for predicting the outcome of Tuesday's Democratic primaries is now available: Super Tuesday Calculator.

Play around with it. There's some good poll data available at Pollster.com. Send me your predictions (using the "Share" link) or leave them in the comments. I'll be posting mine here closer to the date.

Joseph | 2 Feb 2008 | 7 comments

Sat 2 Feb 2008, 7:34pm Joseph

If you want a headstart, here's the most recent poll for each state where post-New Hampshire data is available. Edwards has been given 4% across the board to account for residual support.

I think there's a few outliers in this collection of polls (including NJ mainly, to a lesser extent MA and IL), so you definitely want to tweak the numbers.

Most recent polls, as of Sat 2pm AEDST

Tue 5 Feb 2008, 11:28am Rohan

http://make-believe.org/misc/super-tuesday?70x30xx50x50xx40x60xx60x40xx80x20xx50x50xx40x60xx50x50xx50x50xx60x40xx50x50xx50x50xx55x45xx50x50xx50x50xx45x55xx45x55xx30x70xx55x45xx50x50xx60x40xx55x45xx55x45x

Tue 5 Feb 2008, 8:00pm Joseph

Here are my final numbers. If you're going to be making a prediction yourself, looking closely at these might be considered cheating. Or it might be considered taking the bait. You can't say I didn't warn you.

Tue 5 Feb 2008, 8:47pm Jackso

http://make-believe.org/misc/super-tuesday?48x52xx50x50xx52x48xx52x48xx56x44xx48x52xx49x51xx48x52xx51x48x1x43x57xx52x48xx51x49xx51x49xx48x52xx48x50x2x47x53xx50x50xx51x49xx52x48xx48x48x4x51x49xx47x53xx51x49x

Tue 5 Feb 2008, 8:59pm Joseph

Wow JT - a win for HRC in Illinois would be quite something.

Tue 5 Feb 2008, 10:24pm Peter

Here are my predictions. They are shamelessly random.

Wed 6 Feb 2008, 9:58am Huw

Here are my predictions. Absolutely uninformed, but I'm picking Obama for California. http://make-believe.org/misc/super-tuesday?51x47x2xxxxxxx46x41xx54x21xx46x47xx32x34x17x41x27x9x44x42xx37x52xx31x37xx22x55x15x39x58x3x59x22x11x40x33x12x47x38xx45x43xx59x38x3x51x30x10xxxx50x19x25x34x20x16x44x35x21

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